Actualidad
Fecha: 27 de marzo de 2025 10:45
"Assessing the Debt Sustainability Analysis Methodology in the EU’s New Economic Governance Framework"
Lugar: Sala de Reuniones del Departamento de Economía. Edificio Los Madroños, 2ª planta (ECON-2026)
Ponente: Aitor Erce (UPNA)
Abstract: This in-depth analysis reviews the Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) that guides the implementation of the new Economic Governance Framework. It evaluates the adequacy of the methodology, with a focus on the changes introduced in the DSA to make it fit for the multi-annual character of the framework. While the DSA is not far from the state-of-art, the way the framework handles uncertainty is suboptimal. The study notes a few other areas where the analysis could be improved, namely potential output and structural primary balance estimation, sovereign borrowing strategies, and fiscal multipliers. The study also discusses whether the framework is sufficiently transparent, and presents venues through which the European Parliament can foster a transparent debate about the methodology underpinning the DSA exercise.